信息科技（IT）十大趋势（IT 2003 Conference，19 November 2003）|Powerpoint模板

信息科技（IT）十大趋势（IT 2003 Conference，19 November 2003）

Ten Trends forthe InformationMillennium
Graeme PhilipsonIT 2003 Conference
19 November 2003
1. The Information Explosion
The Information Explosion
How much information?
Kilobyte

  A page of text 
How much information?
Megabyte

  A short novel
How much information?
Gigabyte

 Beethoven’s Fifth Symphony
How much information?
Terabyte

  All the X-rays in a large hospital
How much information?
Petabyte

 The contents of the world’s research libraries
How much information?
Exabyte

  All the words ever spoken
How much information?
Zettabyte

 Grains of sandon all the world’s beaches
How much information?
Yottabyte

  Atoms in 7000  human bodies
Some facts about information
The world produced 3 Exabytes of new information last year
The amount of new information is doubling every two years
More new information will be created over the next few years than in the entire history of mankind so far
More information is created by individuals than companies (the “democratisation of information”)
More than 100 billion photos are taken every year

2. The Real-Time Economy

Increasing Business VelocityReduced time for sample business processes, 1984 - 2003 
3. Everybody is a User
Total Number of Applications Users
4. A Wireless World
Worldwide Mobile Phone Users
Mobile Phone Users per Internet User
Wireless Enabling Technologies
WAP
XML
Bluetooth
3G
802.11
etc. etc. etc.

Wireless Inhibitors
Device limitations – screens etc.
Business and consumer acceptance
Business orientation of operators
Infrastructure and networks
Government policy
Interoperability
Security

5. Web Services and the Evolution of Applications

Web Services Architecture
Web Services Process Flow
6. The Rise of Open Source
The Rise of Open Source
Unix origins in open source
Lunix set the pattern
Much more to open source than Linux
Open source is not (necessarily) free
Philosophical and ideological challenge to convention
7. The Threat to IP and Copyright
The Threat to IP and Copyright
Copyright is not part of the natural order of things
Digitisation means “disintermediation”
Distributors only slowly adjusting to new business models
The key battleground of the digital millennium

8. Commodisation and  Rationalisation
Hardware Rationalisation
Declining number of hardware architectures – Intel vs the rest
Major Systems Vendors - and then there were five
PC commoditisation - economies of scale and the decline of clones

The Major Hardware Vendors, 1991-2001
Hardware Architectures – Intel vs the Rest
IBM
zSeries (Mainframe)
iSeries (AS/400)
pSeries (RS/6000)
xSeries (Intel)
HP – Moving to totally Intel
Dell – Totally Intel
Sun – SPARC, Intel (AMD) at low end
Where are they now?
Software Rationalisation
Operating system rationalisation
Proprietary systems dead
Rationalisation of Unix, Growth of Linux
Steady growth of Windows
DBMS rationalisation
Once many players (Sybase, Informix, Progress, Ingres, etc.)
Oracle vs IBM vs Microsoft
Systems software rationalisation
Everybody acquired by CA, BMC and Compuware
Microsoft replacing products with features
Applications software rationalisation
Microsoft buys Great Plains and Navision
Oracle / Peoplesoft / JD Edwards

9. The Decline of IT as a profession
Do it Yourself vs Product
IT Spend Mix, 93-01(Australia)

10. The Coming  Information  Utility
The Changing Face of IT

Ten Trends forthe InformationMillennium
Graeme PhilipsonIT 2003 Conference
19 November 2003