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《经济学人》跨国公司在中国-2PPT资源下载

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  • ::《经济学人》跨国公司在中国-2下载地址::
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  • 《经济学人》跨国公司在中国-2简介
  • Key points for 2004-05
    World growth fantastic
    best for 20 years in 2004
    developed and emerging markets surging ahead
    Exceptional times cannot last
    tipping point may have already passed
    international liquidity is tightening
    coping with the transition
    global policy tightening
    will slow world growth
    Slowdown likely, but risks of worse
    United States outlook
    Recent performance stunning
    more to come in the year ahead
    But policy stimulus being withdrawn
    strong momentum, but balance sheets?
    Restraining factors
    debts are high, spare capacity, assets prices vulnerable, external deficit
    2004 are great, but business conditions tougher in 2005-06?
    Japan
    Domestic economy is restructuring
    under cover of export led growth
    But needs more time
    SME weakness, overcapacity, no pricing power
    cannot yet offset export slowdown
    Export deceleration will stall reform
    still a long way to go before domestic recovery in place
    Euro zone outlook
    Only a sluggish recovery
     exports
     but the euro
     restocking, capex
     business subdued
     consumers
     jobs, pensions
    Policy boost?
     debt levels
     pension fears
    Reform efforts?
    The emerging world
    Benefiting from OECD pickup
    import demand surging
    Selling into other emerging markets
    regional trade dynamics
    But risk appetite has fallen sharply
    past 18mths were extraordinary
    but investors now leaving
    spreads rising

    Key points for 2004-05
    World growth fantastic
    China is 6th largest economy at market prices, 2nd at PPP, growing at 9%
    Exceptional times cannot last
    Chinese policy tightening impacts domestically and also elsewhere
    Commodities, trade
    Slowdown likely, but risks of worse
    Soft landings are hard to engineer
    some investors will be hurt
    The business response—FDI
    EIU survey of 500 business executives’ foreign direct investment strategies
    China the key focus
     New consumer markets, low-cost labour, new business markets
    India the challenger
    Skilled labour, R&D, outsourcing
    US & eurozone dominate ‘operating criteria’
    Supply chain efficiencies, acquisitions

    The business experience
    Gap between expectations and reality
    China is not an easy business environment
    Regulation, competition, local protection, legal framework, infrastructure, skill levels
    Macroeconomic stability not assured
    Irrational exuberance
    Foreign and domestic
    But long term potential is enormous
    China FDI forecasts
    China will attract US$67bn per year of FDI in 2004-08
    Second only to the US
    FDI will fund 7% of total Chinese investment
    China’s share of world exports to rise to 10%
    Improvements in operating environment should allow enhanced profitability

     

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